U.S. Progesterone Prices 2025, Size, Trend, Graph, News and Forecast
North America
In Q4 2024, the North American Progesterone API market experienced significant price declines, driven by lower production costs in major manufacturing hubs and weakened demand, which dampened trading sentiment. U.S. buyers postponed purchases, anticipating further price drops, while high domestic inventory levels forced suppliers to adopt aggressive pricing strategies. Additionally, a favorable USD/CNY exchange rate made Chinese imports more cost-effective, exerting further downward pressure on domestic prices.
An influx of competitively priced Chinese exports, supported by favorable production economics and currency valuations, further impacted the market. On the demand side, procurement strategies focused on inventory optimization, as buyers worked through stockpiles from previous high-volume purchases.
By December, the market remained bearish, with subdued procurement activity and weak demand across key downstream sectors. Intense price competition from Chinese imports continued to compress domestic supplier margins, maintaining downward pressure. Trading volumes remained low, with participants exercising caution amid market uncertainty, resulting in a pessimistic outlook for the Progesterone API sector.
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Asia Pacific
The APAC Progesterone market, particularly in China, followed a declining trend in Q4 2024. In October, prices underwent corrections due to weak demand and excess inventory, prompting manufacturers to reduce prices accordingly. Producers adjusted their output and inventory levels in response to diminished procurement from key importing nations. As year-end holidays approached and stockpiles remained high, export volumes declined. Reduced global purchases further intensified downward price pressure, with Western markets adopting a cautious, need-based purchasing strategy.
Despite stable input costs and improved production efficiencies enabling competitive pricing, the market remained weak. The growing preference for alternative APIs also weighed on Progesterone’s market position. Throughout the quarter, manufacturers demonstrated adaptability by adjusting production schedules and strategically managing inventory levels, ensuring supply chain stability amid ongoing price fluctuations and shifting market dynamics.
Europe
The German Progesterone market faced sustained downward pressure in Q4 2024. Prices declined in October, driven by weak end-user demand and minimal buying activity. Market conditions were further complicated by the euro's depreciation against the dollar, which increased import costs, while competitive pricing from Asian suppliers influenced purchasing behavior.
The downturn persisted in November as lower production costs in Asian markets and sluggish economic activity across the Eurozone contributed to weaker prices. As a key import center, Germany’s pricing trends aligned with global patterns, prompting traders to adopt conservative positions while closely monitoring economic indicators.
December brought additional challenges, including market oversaturation and diminished purchasing interest. Seasonal inventory accumulation created supply imbalances, while logistical disruptions—stemming from adverse weather, reduced staffing, and congestion at major ports like Rotterdam and Hamburg—drove up transportation costs. As a result, purchasing activity remained restricted, with sustained currency weakness and high stock levels further weighing on market dynamics. These factors, combined with seasonal disruptions, led to reduced import activity and prolonged price weakness.
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