Coffee Prices: Market Analysis, Trend, News, Graph and Demand

 

The North American coffee market experienced a sharp price increase, primarily due to reduced imports from Brazil and Colombia—two of the world’s largest coffee producers. Severe weather conditions in both countries disrupted coffee production, intensifying global supply shortages and exerting upward pressure on prices.

Brazil, which accounts for approximately 40% of global coffee output, faced one of its most extreme droughts in decades. The prolonged dry conditions severely impacted arabica-growing regions, slashing crop yields and widening the global supply gap. In Colombia, excessive rainfall and landslides further disrupted harvesting and export activities, compounding the supply constraints.

Despite these challenges on the supply side, coffee demand in North America remained stable with no notable surge in consumption. This imbalance—tight supply amid steady demand—was the primary driver behind the region’s rising coffee prices.

Get Real time Prices for coffee : https://www.chemanalyst.com/Pricing-data/coffee-1604

Coffee prices in the Asia-Pacific region climbed steadily in late 2024, fueled by constrained supply, robust export demand, and broader global pricing trends. Vietnam, the region’s top producer, experienced a significant supply-demand mismatch due to persistent off-season rains and Tropical Storm Trami, which disrupted key coffee-growing areas.

While Vietnam’s export volumes declined by 10.8%, the value of its coffee exports jumped 40.1% in October—underscoring rising prices despite reduced shipments. Major importing countries such as Germany, Italy, Spain, the Philippines, and Malaysia recorded notable increases in coffee imports. The harvest delays, compounded by rising NPK fertilizer costs, affected both yield and bean quality.

Despite these hurdles, Vietnam maintained a strong position as a leading exporter, with projected coffee export revenues reaching $5.6 billion for 2024. Ongoing weather disruptions, tight global supplies from key producers, and steady international demand are expected to keep coffee prices in the Asia-Pacific region elevated, highlighting its growing role in the global coffee market.

European coffee prices surged significantly, driven by persistent supply shortages from key producers like Brazil and Vietnam. Unfavorable weather in these countries severely impacted production, restricting global availability and intensifying price pressures.

Brazil's output dropped due to a historic drought that struck critical arabica-growing areas, while Vietnam contended with excessive rainfall and landslides that disrupted its harvest and export flows. These setbacks strained global supply chains, directly affecting European importers.

Throughout the quarter, coffee demand across Europe remained stable, with no marked increase in consumption. However, the supply constraints led to increased price volatility across the region. With production challenges persisting in Brazil and Vietnam, the European coffee market remains highly sensitive to further disruptions, underscoring the fragility of global supply conditions.

Coffee prices in South America, particularly in Brazil and Colombia, saw significant increases during Q4 2024, driven by adverse weather, supply constraints, and rising demand.

In Brazil, a prolonged drought intensified by El Niño stressed coffee crops and curtailed production. Although some rainfall occurred in October, it proved insufficient for a meaningful recovery, casting doubts over the 2025 harvest. Meanwhile, export volumes reached record highs, but logistical hurdles and rising fertilizer costs contributed to further price pressures.

Colombia also experienced a price uptrend. While dry conditions affected crop yields, the country’s coffee production rose notably in October and November, reaching 1.76 million 60-kg bags in November, thanks to resilient coffee varieties. However, higher input costs and weather-related disruptions kept market conditions tight.

The quarter’s strong seasonal demand—particularly ahead of the holiday season—added to the upward pressure. Altogether, Q4 2024 was marked by continued price volatility across South America, driven by production challenges, unfavorable weather, and firm global demand.

Get Real time Prices for coffee : https://www.chemanalyst.com/Pricing-data/coffee-1604

 

 

 

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